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Bethan Wilkins

Analyst

AHDB Pork Market Intelligence

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Optimistic outlook apparent in EU weaner market

Home \ Prices & Stats \ News \ 2019 \ July \ Optimistic outlook apparent in EU weaner market

EU weaner prices have risen sharply this year.

The 30kg average peaked at €58.85/head in the week ended 9 June, less than €1 behind the record high from April 2017. EU weaner prices have increased by over 40% since the start of the year.

Prices typically turn upward in spring; however, the rise this year has been particularly strong. The uplift reflects a similar trend in the finished pig market. Strong demand from China in light of African Swine Fever and a simultaneous tightening of European supplies has provided support to EU pig producers.

Recently, the weaner market has weakened a little. Prices averaged €57.90/head in the week ended 30 June. Nonetheless, an optimistic outlook for finished pig prices this year will mean finisher confidence remains high. In the latest week, prices were still €14/head higher than last year.

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Over the past 3 weeks, prices in key member states have moved as follows:

  • Denmark: +€2.57 to €60.68/head
  • Germany: -€0.10 to €68.50/head
  • Netherlands: -€1.50 to €51.75/head
  • Poland: -€1.89 to €50.18/head
  • Spain -€2.44 to €57.93/head
  • United Kingdom +€1.47 to €58.05/head

It is noticeable that the German weaner price is currently €10 above the UK average. However, this still not really enough to incentivise live export to the continent. Based on the latest AHDB estimates, it costs around £60 (€67) to take a pig to 30kg, leaving only a margin of only €1.50, and that’s before transport costs are factored in.

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