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Bethan Wilkins

Analyst

AHDB Pork Market Intelligence

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EU breeding herd increasing

Home \ Prices & Stats \ News \ 2018 \ February \ EU breeding herd increasing

According to the latest census results published by Eurostat, the total EU pig population for December 2017 (excluding Bulgaria) totalled 149.5 million, up 2% on the year.

The number of breeding sows also rose to 12.1 million, a modest increase of 1% on the year. This is likely a reflection of the rising pig prices received by European pig producers in early 2017.  

Of the key pig producing member states; Poland, the Netherlands and Spain contributed significantly to the overall rise in breeding sows, reporting annual increases 6%, 4% and 3% respectively. In contrast, other major producers including Germany and France all remained steady on the year.  The number of in pig-sows was stable, whereas in-pig gilts were up 2%.

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The overall modest increase in the breeding herd suggests that EU production will be above 2017 levels somewhat, boosting the availability of supplies on the market. Prices are therefore expected to be slightly below those received in 2017, when there was a Europe-wide reduction in supplies.

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Overall the total pig herd was up on the year, with all of the key pig producing member states increasing their pig population’s year-on-year, although the scale of the increase was mixed. Most notably, the Spanish pig population, already the largest in the EU, increased by a further 3%. Poland and Denmark also reported year-on-year increases their total pig herds by 7% and 4%, respectively.

A higher number of fattening pigs between 20-110kg was also reported, one driver of the overall 2% increase in the total EU pig herd. Although many of these pigs will have been slaughtered by now, this provides evidence for reports of greater supplies coming onto the market towards the end of 2017. The number of piglets was 3% above year earlier levels too, suggesting that EU production has the potential to rise in the short to mid-term.

Although modest, the pig herd is expanding, suggesting that throughputs will remain above 2017.  Unless these are met by demand, the EU pig marketplace may be challenging over the next year.

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Abigail Schofield, Trainee Analyst

Abigail.Schofield@ahdb.org.uk, 024 7647 8610