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Bethan Wilkins

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AHDB Pork Market Intelligence

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2019

Home \ Prices & Stats \ News \ 2019

Another little lift for the SPP

20 March 2019

In the week ended 16 March, the EU-spec SPP lifted marginally for the second consecutive week, with prices increasing by 0.14p to average 137.77p/kg.

UK pork trade higher in first month of 2019

20 March 2019

UK pork trade in 2019 got off to a flying start, with both exports and imports increasing year on year.

EU pig meat production up in 2018

20 March 2019

According to the latest figures from Eurostat, EU pig meat production for December was down 5% compared to December 2017.

GB breeding herd productivity declines

20 March 2019

The latest physical performance data, provided to AHDB by Agrosoft, shows that GB breeding herd productivity declined in 2018. This is the first year performance has not improved since 2010.

UK pig slaughter down in February

19 March 2019

UK clean pig slaughter in February was 834,200 head, 4% lower than the same month in 2018. This was driven by a 6% drop in slaughter in England (and Wales), as throughput in Scotland and Northern Ireland actually increased by 4% and 7% respectively.

Decrease in the December pig herd

19 March 2019

According to Defra figures, UK pig numbers on 1 December 2018 totalled 4.6 million head. This was more than 1% lower compared with the same point a year before, but still above 2016 levels.

Uplift in the EU market

13 March 2019

The EU pig price increased steadily during February, averaging €135.92/100kg across the month. This was €1.65 higher than the January average.

SPP price steadies

13 March 2019

After a long period of decline, the EU spec SPP steadied, rising slightly (+0.2p) in the week ending 9 March.

No-deal pig meat import tariffs released

13 March 2019

Following the MPs vote to reject Theresa May's Brexit deal for the second time last night, the government announced the proposed tariff regime that would apply under a no-deal Brexit.

Decrease in Canadian pig herd

12 March 2019

The latest figures from Statistics Canada show that the size of the Canadian pig herd on 1 January 2018 was 1% down compared to a year earlier, but it is still above 14 million head.

EU pig meat TRQs

08 March 2019

The EU has a number of Tariff Rate Quotas for pig meat, which allow imports to enter at a reduced tariff rate. Uptake of these quotas is currently low, so these quotas may be relevant for British suppliers in the event of a no-deal Brexit.

Falling pig prices put further pressure on producer margins

08 March 2019

Pig production costs in the fourth quarter of 2018 were about the same as the previous three months, according to the latest AHDB estimates. The average GB production cost stood at 156p/kg, remaining at the highest level since 2013 and 12p/kg up compared to the same time a year before.

Falling English pig herd

06 March 2019

According to the December figures published by Defra, the pig herd in England fell by 1% compared with a year earlier, to 3.7 million head.

Still no upturn for GB pig prices

06 March 2019

The fall in the EU-spec SPP, which started last summer, continued in the week ended 2 March, with prices currently at 137.43p/kg.

Irish pig meat exports continue to grow

06 March 2019

Irish pig meat exports grew in 2018, up nearly 4% from 2017 to 260,000 tonnes. The value of these exports grew by 5% over the same period, to €805 million.

Spanish exports go from strength to strength

06 March 2019

In 2018 Spain produced 4.5 million tonnes (cwe) of pig meat, 5% more than in 2017, with 52.4 million pigs slaughtered according to Eurostat data.

US pork export growth steadies

06 March 2019

Pig meat exports from the United States were higher in the year to November 2018, by 4% to total 2 million tonnes. Primarily driven by increases in fresh/frozen pork earlier on in the year, growth steadied a little in more recent months.

DAERA records contraction in the NI pig herd

06 March 2019

The national pig breeding herd in Northern Ireland has declined 7% (3,300 head) year-on-year, to 44,100 head, according to December census results from DAERA NI.

Pork sales flat, but processed in decline

27 February 2019

During the 12 weeks ending 27 January, GB retail sales of fresh & frozen pork remained reasonably steady compared with the same period a year earlier, according to figures from Kantar Worldpanel.

GB pig price steadies

27 February 2019

GB pig prices remained virtually stable in the latest week ended 23 February

Will shoppers have more to spend in 2019?

27 February 2019

The employment rate (the proportion of people in work aged 16 to 64) was estimated at 75.8% in January. This is higher than a year earlier (75.2%) and the joint-highest since comparable estimates began in 1971. At 2.9, the ratio of UK job vacancies to 100 employed jobs is also high. All this points to a tight labour market.

French pig meat market stable…

27 February 2019

French pig meat production was stable in 2018 at 2.18 million tonnes (cwe), with 23.5 million pigs slaughtered. Pork imports grew by just over 1% to 295,000 tonnes product weight.

A slippery slope for GB pig prices

20 February 2019

The downward trend in GB pig prices continued for another week. In the week ended 16 February the EU-spec SPP fell 0.24p to 137.50p/kg, almost 9p below year earlier levels. Nonetheless, there are continued industry expectations that tightening supplies, following difficulties with fertility levels last summer, might ultimately stem the ongoing price decline. EU pig prices also moved up slightly in the week ended 10 February.

UK pig meat exports fell back as 2018 closed

20 February 2019

After four months of strong growth, UK exports of fresh/frozen pork fell 15% in December compared with a year earlier, to 16,100 tonnes.

UK pig production up in January

20 February 2019

UK clean pig slaughterings in January totalled 935,800 head, around 2.5% above the same month in 2018. Finished pig numbers picked up following a slow end to 2018, perhaps influenced by fewer pigs pulled forward for Christmas last year.

Feed Report- February

19 February 2019

Read our latest commentary on the global cereals and oilseeds markets.

EU production continues to drive GB pig prices

19 February 2019

AHDB has recently revisited the GB pig prices model, which plots historical prices based on a range of factors including exchange rates, UK and EU production levels, import and export volumes, and global commodity prices. This model suggests that usually, the level of EU pig meat production is the biggest influence on GB pig price levels, and last year was no exception.

EU shipments limited by lower Asian demand in December

19 February 2019

Despite a little year-on-year growth in November, EU exports of fresh/frozen pork fell 9% below 2017 levels in December, according to the latest Eurostat figures. This left exports 4% below year earlier levels across the two months, at 370,500 tonnes.

2018 animal feed production highest on record

19 February 2019

In the final quarter of 2018 GB animal feed production was recorded at nearly 3.1 million tonnes, up 1% (40,000 tonnes) year-on-year, according to the latest data released by AHDB. As such, GB feed production for 2018 totalled 12.08 million tonnes, a 4% increase year-on-year, making it the highest annual production on record.

EU pig production remains up year-on-year

13 February 2019

According to the latest figures published by Eurostat, EU pig meat production rose 2% year-on-year in November to total just under 2.1 million tonnes.

EU pork export prospects in Japan receive a boost

13 February 2019

The EU recently signed a trade agreement with Japan, enabling its members to benefit from lower duties on some pork products, including frozen pork and ground seasoned pork (GSP), from April 2019.

GB pig prices continue downwards

13 February 2019

The EU-spec SPP continued on a downward trajectory in the week ended 9 February, back 0.41p to average 137.74p/kg. The current price is around 8p lower than the same week of 2018. Industry reports suggest that supply could become tighter in the coming months which could relieve some pressure on the price.

Small fall in Danish pig herd

13 February 2019

The latest figures published by Statistics Denmark show that the overall pig population on 1 January declined by 1.5% compared with the start of 2018. The total stood at 12.6 million head. This was also nearly 3% down on the final quarter of last year, although the pig population usually records a seasonal decline towards the end of the year.

EU pig prices remain flat in the New Year

11 February 2019

EU pig prices have remained relatively flat in the first few weeks of the New Year. The EU average reference price for the week ending 3 February stood at €133.98/100kg, just 50 cents below four weeks ago.

GB pig prices slide again

06 February 2019

The EU-spec SPP returned to decline in the week ended 2 February, at 138.15p/kg. This was a week-on-week change of 0.56p/kg. This week’s price is now down 12p from last year’s peak, and nearly 9p lower than the same week in 2018.

EU sow prices remaining low as Brexit approaches

06 February 2019

The EU sow price, and particularly the German price, is of great importance to the UK as it provides a good indication of probable trends in GB cull sow prices.

Russia moves to net exporter position in 2018

04 February 2019

Exports of pork and offal from Russia in the year to November totalled 106,000 tonnes, an 11% increase compared to the same period in 2017. This puts the nation into the position of net exporter.

Imports into China faced pressure during 2018

04 February 2019

During 2018, China imported 1.2 million tonnes of fresh/frozen pork, 2% (24,000 tonnes) less than in 2017. In addition to this, 947,000 tonnes of pig offal was imported, down 23% (290,000 tonnes) year-on-year.

Feed Report- January

01 February 2019

Read our latest commentary on the global cereals and oilseeds markets.

SPP steadies slightly

30 January 2019

The EU-spec SPP took a slight respite from downward movement in the most recent week.

Spotlight on ASF: Impact on Chinese meat consumption

30 January 2019

Last week, we established that the volume of pig meat that could relatively easily be shipped to China falls short of the supply gap likely to open up this year. This week, we discuss how Chinese consumption of pork and other meats may be affected as a result.

Pork supply outlook uncertain in 2019

30 January 2019

The AHDB Outlook for UK pig meat supplies, produced back in October, has been reviewed to take account of recent developments in production and trade.

South Korean pork imports continue to grow

30 January 2019

South Korea is currently one of the fastest growing pork consumption markets in the world. Despite increasing domestic production (+3% according to USDA estimates), South Korea still imported more pork in 2018, going against previous industry expectations. In 2018, fresh/frozen pork imports to South Korea totalled 571,000 tonnes. This is a 17% increase (+82,000 tonnes) compared to 2017 levels.

EU weaner prices recover, but not for everyone

30 January 2019

After trending downwards for much of the summer, EU weaner prices have staged something of a recovery. Prices have been rising since late October, and in the week ending 20 January, the average EU weaner price was €41.50/head. This is €2.73 below last year’s price, but over €8 higher than the lows seen in the autumn.

Meat remains popular with shoppers, although mix of product changes

24 January 2019

During the 12 weeks ending 30 December, total primary meat retail sales remained steady on year earlier levels, according to the latest data from Kantar Worldpanel. Within this some categories did perform more strongly than others. Of course the most recent period includes the all-important Christmas period.

SPP weights continue to break records

23 January 2019

The EU-spec SPP continued to slide in the week ending 19 January, falling by -0.71p to stand at 138.78p/kg.

Spotlight on ASF: Opportunities for key exporters

23 January 2019

Last week we examined the potential size of the Chinese import gap this year, as China’s production becomes affected by African Swine Fever. In this article, we discuss opportunities for the key suppliers individually.

China- a valuable asset to the UK pig industry

23 January 2019

AHDB has recently published a new report, focusing on the opportunities changing diets and improving wealth present for exporters to China.

Brazilian pork exports regain ground

23 January 2019

In recent months, fresh/frozen pork exports from Brazil have regained some lost ground from the first half of last year. This has put the country in a much better position heading into 2019.

UK pig production higher in 2018

22 January 2019

UK pig meat production totalled 71,900 tonnes in December, which is a slight increase (+1%) compared to a year earlier. This brings production for 2018 to 926,700 tonnes, 24,100 tonnes higher (+3%) than in 2017. This is a result of higher slaughterings for both clean pigs and sows and boars.

UK pig meat exports continue to perform strongly

22 January 2019

During November 2018, UK exports of fresh/frozen pork continued to record year-on-year growth (+5% or 900 tonnes), reaching 19,500 tonnes.

APP and SPP gap continues to widen

16 January 2019

The EU-spec SPP fell once again in the week ended 12 January.

Focusing on feed conversion

15 January 2019

The feed conversion ratio (FCR) is an important performance indicator for pig producers, as it has an influence on production costs.

EU pig prices flat in December

15 January 2019

EU pig prices have recorded little movement in the past four weeks, with the EU average reference price standing at €134.51/100kg in the week ended 6 January.

Spotlight on ASF: Impact on Chinese pork production

15 January 2019

Following last week’s article covering the current spread of African Swine Fever in China, in this article, we explore the potential drop in production that might stem from this.

EU production increases in October

14 January 2019

EU pig production rose 6% in October compared to the previous year. Totalling 2.1 million tonnes, this is also 14% higher than September. This is a result of higher pig slaughterings (+6% Y-o-Y), however carcase weights have dropped slightly across the EU-28 compared to October 2017.

Heavy pigs weighing on prices

09 January 2019

The EU-spec SPP dipped further to 140.02p/kg for the week ended 5 January.

Danish pork exports remain up in 2018

09 January 2019

Between Jan-Sep 2018, Danish fresh/frozen pork exports rose by around 3% year-on-year to total 840,000 tonnes.

Quality wins over quantity for Italian pork market

09 January 2019

Pig meat production in Italy reached 1.1 million tonnes in the year to September, a +1.9% (21,000 t) increase year on year. However, over the same period 8.38 million pigs were slaughtered, 1.4% less than a year ago, demonstrating a growth in carcase weights.

Spotlight on ASF: Contamination in China

07 January 2019

African Swine Fever is set to be an important topic in the global pork market this year, with the level of spread determining global trade flows and import demand. So, every week in this series of articles, we’re going to explore a different aspect of the situation, and what the impacts might be moving forward. This article examines the current level of Chinese contamination.

Spain continues to both produce and export more pork

07 January 2019

Throughout 2018 there has been a strong growth in pig meat production in Spain, according to data from Eurostat.

More growth in US pig numbers

07 January 2019

According to the latest figures from the USDA, the size of the US pig herd increased by 2% in the year to December 2018. There was a similar increase in both the breeding and fattening herds.

Finished pig prices fall, but weaners rally

02 January 2019

During the week ending 22 December, the EU-spec SPP declined by 0.52p on the week to 141.68p/kg.

German pig herd declines significantly

02 January 2019

According to provisional results from the November census, the total number of pigs in Germany fell by 4% compared to year earlier levels.

French pork exports now turning to decline

02 January 2019

In the first nine months of 2018, French pork exports increased by 12,700 tonnes (4%) year-on-year, to total 319,000 tonnes.