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Bethan Wilkins

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AHDB Pork Market Intelligence

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2020

Home \ Prices & Stats \ News \ 2020

France pork exports up, imports down in 2019

21 February 2020

During 2019, French pig meat production was up by around 1% (+19,000 tonnes). Pig meat export growth outstripped this through, posting a 10% increase (+50,000 tonnes carcase weight equivalent) for the year as a whole.

UK pork exports rise in 2019 while imports fall

20 February 2020

Latest trade data from HMRC shows UK fresh/frozen pork exports in 2019 rose by 12% on the year, while imports were down 2%.

ASF: are there trading opportunities beyond China?

20 February 2020

Besides China, African swine fever (ASF) is now affecting several other key pig meat trading countries. These include Vietnam, the Philippines and South Korea. We explore the supply and demand impact on these countries and what it might mean for global trade.

Finished pig prices remain steady

19 February 2020

The EU-spec SPP remained relatively steady in the week ending 15 January, only increasing by 0.04p on the week to average 162.78p/kg. Nevertheless, prices remain over 25p above last year and the five-year average.

EU pork exports higher again in December

19 February 2020

Continuing the trend seen throughout 2019, EU pork exports were higher than a year earlier in December.

Impact of coronavirus on global markets

18 February 2020

Coronavirus is currently a global talking point, although reliable data is hard to come by in terms of its impact on agriculture. Trade data will show us the impact for product going into China, but information on trade is always a few months behind, so it will be a while before we see the impact flowing through that. However, here we do a round-up of what we do know and share our perspective on the impacts.

South Korea import demand falls, but likely to return

17 February 2020

South Korea imported 525,000 tonnes of fresh and frozen pork in 2019, 8% less than the previous year, according to data from Korea Customs. Pork imports were particularly high in 2018, possibly in a conscious effort to build stocks against African Swine Fever (ASF). Since then, competition for pork has increased, particularly from China. Consumption growth has also slowed, due to (unfounded) consumer concerns about ASF.

UK pig slaughter up in January, with carcase weights still elevated

13 February 2020

UK clean pig slaughter in January 2020 totalled 960,200 head. This was 2% higher than in the same month last year.

Higher production supports demand for finisher feed

13 February 2020

Q4 2019 feed statistics, year-on-year changes:

  •          Production of grower feed decreased by 12%
  •          Production of finishing feed increased by 10%
  •          Production of breeding feed increased by 5%

SPP continues to move up

12 February 2020

The EU-spec SPP has continued its upward trajectory in the week ending 8 February. The average price rose by 0.13p on the week, to average 162.74 p/kg.

EU prices tumble on export woes

12 February 2020

In the four weeks ending 2 February 2020, EU pig prices continued their fall, losing over €10 to average €182.54/100kg.

Slight increase in Danish pig numbers

10 February 2020

The latest figures published by Statistics Denmark show that the overall pig population on 1 January was a little higher compared with the start of 2019. The total reached 12.73 million head; this was also 1% up on the final quarter of last year.

If African Swine Fever spreads to Germany, how might markets react?

10 February 2020

Back in September 2018, we produced a report highlighting the potential market impact if ASF were to spread to German wild boar. With a recent case in Polish wild boar just 12km from the German border, and further spread into Greece in recent days, this analysis has renewed relevance.

Japan’s pork imports increase with stable production

06 February 2020

Japan imported nearly 960,000 tonnes of fresh and frozen pork in 2019, 3.7% more than the year before, according to the Japan Ministry of Finance. Despite a year that has seen dramatic meat price inflation elsewhere in the region, prices to Japan have remained stable.

Tightening welfare and environment regulations influence EU pig supply

06 February 2020

Upcoming changes to animal welfare and environmental regulations will affect pig meat production in the EU. Here, we explore the significance of these changes.

Little change for GB pig prices

05 February 2020

Defying the usual seasonal trend, the EU-spec SPP recorded a marginal increase in the week ended 1 February, to 162.61p/kg. The annual change continued to increase, reaching the highest level since September 2017, as prices were falling this time last year.

Chinese New Year driving the pork market in late 2019

05 February 2020

Pork prices in China have been at historically high levels since August. In December, the national pork price averaged CNY 47/kg (£5.27/kg), live pig prices were CNY 34/kg (£3.81/kg) and piglets averaged nearly CNY 90/kg (£10.08/kg).

EU cull sow prices reach record highs

03 February 2020

Cull sow prices in major EU markets have all matched or exceeded record highs* since the start of December, following the trend in the finished pig market. Throughout 2019, prices increased by around 75%.

Feed grain report (January)

30 January 2020

Read our latest commentary on the cereals and oilseeds markets.

SPP moves up for the first time in 2020

29 January 2020

In the week ended 25 January, the EU-spec SPP moved upwards (+0.23p). This increase pushes it about 24p higher than both the previous year and the 5-year average.

How the SPP is calculated

29 January 2020

In the week ending 12 January 2020, the UK reference price* exceeded the EU reference price for the first time in 40 weeks, by €0.94/100kg. The following week the UK reference price was €189.92/100kg, extending its premium to €4.84. Those 40 weeks have been frustrating for UK pig producers more used to prices higher than those on the continent. However, it’s still not clear that the UK premium has been re-established long term.

US and China sign phase one trade deal

29 January 2020

On 15 January, the US and China signed a phase one trade deal. As part of the agreement, China will purchase at least an additional USD $200 billion of US products, relative to 2017 levels, over a two-year period

EU slaughter down again in October

24 January 2020

EU pig slaughter fell again in October, following a 1% decline recorded across the preceding nine months.

EU pork exports booming

23 January 2020

The increase in EU pork exports, seen throughout 2019, has continued.

Brazil’s pork trade leaves 2019 on a high

23 January 2020

Exports of Brazilian pig meat (incl. offal) for the 2019 full year totalled 839,400 tonnes, up 15% (108,900 tonnes) from the previous year, with growth driven by fresh/frozen pork.

Limited movement again in the SPP

22 January 2020

The EU-spec SPP has recorded another marginal decline in the week 18 January. The average price declined by 0.09p on the week.

Global pork production forecast to fall by 9% in 2020

22 January 2020

Global pork production in 2020 is expected to fall by 9% on the year, to 96.4 million tonnes, according to the latest outlook from the USDA

UK pig meat production ramps up in December

16 January 2020

In December 2019, UK clean pig slaughter reached 934,400 head, 12% more than the same month in the previous year.

Strong UK pig meat exports continue

16 January 2020

UK pork exports recorded another increase in November 2019, with shipments up by 13% compared with the same month a year earlier. At 22,400 tonnes volumes were a record high for the month but a little lower than in October.

Further decline in German breeding herd

16 January 2020

Latest figures from Eurostat show that the decline in the German breeding herd continued during 2019.

Another year of high EU pig prices ahead – but risks remain

15 January 2020

Although the EU pig market has fallen a little lately, prices remain at exceptionally high levels with strong underlying market drivers.

Heavier pigs influence SPP

15 January 2020

In the week ended 11 January, the EU-spec SPP moved marginally lower (-0.03p). Despite this week on week drop it is still nearly 23p above the price in the same week last year.

EU prices pause for breath over holiday period

14 January 2020

In the four-weeks ending 5 January 2020, EU pig prices actually fell by €2.67 to €192.62/100kg. This belies the generally strong sentiment that still underpins the market.

Italian pig meat production falls

10 January 2020

In October, production was down 5% to 118 thousand tonnes compared with a year ago according to data from Istat. Italian pig meat production is down 12% in the year to October 19, to 1,200 thousand tonnes.

SPP remains steady as new decade begins

08 January 2020

In the first week of the new decade, the EU-spec SPP dropped back marginally on the week (0.01p). Nevertheless, prices are still over 22p above the same week last year.

Chinese protein supply could tighten again following wildfires in Australia

08 January 2020

Australia has now been suffering from a drought for several years, and in recent weeks has faced extensive wildfires.

Increase in the June pig herd

08 January 2020

According to Defra figures that have recently been finalised, UK pig numbers on 1 June 2019 totalled 5.1 million head. This was more than 1% higher compared with the same point a year before, and now indicates four years of growth.

Higher feed usage drives rearing performance gains

06 January 2020

The latest performance data from Agrosoft shows a mixed performance in the feeding herd over the 12 months to September 2019.

Danish and Dutch exports continue to diverge

06 January 2020

The Danish and Dutch pork export market situation in Q3 was almost unchanged compared with the first half of the year.

Throughput influences festive pig prices

03 January 2020

In the run-up to the holiday period, the SPP continued to gain ground. In the week before Christmas, the EU-spec SPP added 1.07p to reach 162.89p/kg, the eighth consecutive week of rises. However, in the latest week ended 28 December, prices slipped a little back to 162.44p/kg.

EU pork and offal exports remain elevated

02 January 2020

The year-on-year growth in EU pork exports, which has been apparent throughout 2019, continued in October.

US pig numbers still up

02 January 2020

Latest figures from the USDA show that pig numbers on 1 December were 3% higher than a year earlier at 77.3 million head.

Pork review of 2019 - ASF hogging the limelight

02 January 2020

2019 has been an unusual year for the pig industry. African Swine Fever (ASF) has posed as both a threat and an opportunity for global pig trade. ASF has had a major influence on global markets, and about a quarter of the global pig herd is thought to have been lost. High demand from Asia for pork imports to counteract this shortage has helped to boost global prices.